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03/13/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Da'Sean Butler scored 24 points and hauled in six rebounds, and the seventh-ranked West Virginia Mountaineers survived yet again with a 53-51 win over Notre Dame to advance to the Big East Tournament title game.
Kevin Jones added 10 points for the third-seeded Mountaineers (26-6), who are riding a five-game win streak heading into Saturday's final against 22nd- ranked and eighth-seeded Georgetown. WVU has been able to win several close games in a row, as the combined winning margin in its last three contests is just seven. The team beat Villanova by two in overtime to end the regular season before Butler banked a game-winning three at the buzzer in Thursday's thrilling win over Cincinnati.
Devin Ebanks and Joe Mazzulla both posted eight points for West Virginia, which is 7-0 this season at a neutral site and will have an opportunity to capture its first Big East Tournament title in school history.
Ben Hansbrough, brother of former Tar Heel Tyler, led a late Notre Dame (23-11) charge and had a team-high 17 points in all, but the Irish failed in their attempt to advance to their first tourney final since joining the Big East in the mid-1990s. Luke Harangody came off the bench and ended with 10 points but did not have a large impact on the outcome.
Notre Dame's season-high six-game win streak came to an end after Tory Jackson's potential game-winning three in the final moments hit the front of the rim.
The Irish trailed by 10, 41-31, with eight minutes to play, but seventh-seeded Notre Dame put together a rally.
Harangody went a combined 5-for-5 from the line on the team's next two offensive possessions, and Hansbrough sank consecutive three-pointers around the four-minute mark to pull the Irish to within 48-45.
Jackson's pair from the line made it a one-point game moments later, but Jones capped two straight successful WVU possessions with two free throws for a 52-47 Mountaineer lead with two minutes to play.
Hansbrough kept Notre Dame within two, 53-51, with 47.4 ticks left on a pair from the line, and Butler missed what would have been a game-sealing three- pointer.
Harangody grabbed the rebound with 12 seconds left and, as Notre Dame was without any timeouts, sprinted up the court and dished it to Jackson, whose three-point attempt grazed the front rim. The Irish's Tyrone Nash grabbed the offensive board but had the ball stripped before he could get a shot off, and time expired to give WVU the win.
A low-scoring first half saw the Mountaineers come away with a 23-20 lead after a Hansbrough three-pointer was disallowed at the buzzer.
West Virginia increased its lead to six, 29-23, on a pair of Jones baskets in the early moments of the second half, and the Mountaineers later scored nine of 12 points to grab a 41-31 edge with just under 10 minutes to go.
Game Notes
Notre Dame advanced to Friday's semifinal by beating Seton Hall on Wednesday and Pittsburgh on Thursday...The Irish still lead the all-time series, 25-11, and had beaten the Mountaineers on the road during the regular season...WVU was the lone team out of the four that earned a double-bye to post a win in the tourney...The Mountaineers outrebounded Notre Dame, 32-19...WVU shot 50 percent from the field, compared to just 34.1 percent for the Irish...The Mountaineers advanced to the final for the first time since 2005.
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Tournam
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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